The world’s battle chief is again inside their very own constructing this weekend, and what this card lacks in identify worth needs to be made up for many by the stylistic clashes that await bettors this weekend.
UFC Vegas 57: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot will happen Saturday from the UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas, Nevada. Which MMA bets stand out on FanDuel Sportsbook?
Arman Tsarukyan and Shavkat Rakhmonov to Both Win (-159; 1.75 Units)
A clear sweep of the board final week in Austin included the two-legger shifting to 11-5 in 2022. Let’s hold it rolling; we would be on a four-card streak if not for the ugly Holly Holm determination.
On a card with out status, the perfect samples are later within the battle, so I’m combining two of the brightest prospects in UFC — Arman Tsarukyan (-310) and Shavkat Rakhmonov (-430) — for this week’s lay.
Tsarukyan is in the principle occasion in opposition to Mateusz Gamrot, and his place as a heavy favourite is because of his most spectacular battle — which was a loss. On quick discover in his UFC debut, Tsarukyan gave Islam Makhachev his most up-to-date problem in UFC. To today, Arman continues to be the one UFC fighter to regulate Makhachev for greater than 60 seconds.
Since then, Tsarukyan has rattled off 5 straight wins on the power of his elite wrestling (3.47 takedowns per quarter-hour). While Gamrot has a pair of first rate UFC wins over Jeremy Stephens and Diego Ferreira, he additionally misplaced a detailed bout to Guram Kutatelatdze. Tsaruykan has regarded flawless in opposition to higher competitors, a degree of competitors that has a minimum of given Gamrot some resistance.
As for Rakhmonov, he is gained all 15 professional fights through end, and he is already mowed by way of three former UFC winners to show he is official. Rakhamonov is equally harmful standing (+1.38 placing success price) as he’s on the mat (1.90 submission makes an attempt per quarter-hour).
I really like and respect veteran Neil Magny, however he was dominated by Michael Chiesa in 2021 earlier than going to a break up determination with Max Griffin in 2022. He’s bought only a 58% takedown protection, and that is a nightmarish flaw to provide a grappler as robust and revered as Rakhmonov is.
These two confirmed finishers — even in opposition to respectable opponents — are your two most secure favorites on the cardboard. Their samples have confirmed to be extremely official at larger ranges of competitors.
Tafon Nchukwi to Win (-102; 1.0 Unit)
City Kickboxing has tossed a number of key fighters into UFC, together with middleweight champion Israel Adesanya. That’s why I anticipate most consider Tafon Nchukwi (-102) loses this weekend.
Nchukwi is dealing with Adesanya’s teammate, Carlos Ulberg. Ulberg has been an offensive stallion in opposition to two entry-level opponents up to now, racking up 8.76 vital strikes per minute on super 61% accuracy. But, Nchukwi is inarguably Ulberg’s hardest take a look at; Ulberg’s earlier opponents are simply 3-7 in UFC total.
Ulberg additionally has a terrifying weak spot in opposition to somebody as highly effective as Nchuwki — a 51% placing protection. Nchukwi’s 56% placing protection is larger, and when you might criticize Nchuwki’s 52% accuracy for being decrease than Ulberg’s, he has additionally confronted tougher competitors. “Da Don” has three UFC wins, and all got here in opposition to multi-time winners.
Ulberg has additionally not confronted a grappling problem in any respect up to now, and Nchukwi a minimum of has displayed that talent with 0.96 takedowns per quarter-hour on 57% accuracy. As the extra well-rounded combined martial artist of the 2, Nchukwi might be ranges above Ulberg in that area.
With a greater resumé total, Nchukwi needs to be favored right here. I really like getting him at simply in need of even cash.
Dart Throw of the Week: Vanessa Demopoulos by Submission (+600; 0.5 Units)
I’ve by no means gone back-to-back weeks hitting the dart, and I’d wish to thank oddsmakers for this chance.
I don’t know how Vanessa Demopoulos (+210) is the underdog. When her work exterior of UFC, she went the gap with strawweight bulldog Loopy Godinez, and he or she submitted now-multi-time UFC winner Sam Hughes. Inside of UFC, she simply added a submission win to a recreation effort on quick discover in opposition to JJ Aldrich at flyweight — 10 kilos above her regular weight class — in her debut.
Demopoulos has by no means been completed in 11 professional fights, and he or she’s completed 5 of her 7 wins.
On the opposite hand, Jinh-Yu Frey hasn’t executed very a lot nicely in UFC apart from staying on her toes (90% takedown protection). She’s bought a -1.20 placing success price, and the one time we have seen her successfully grapple was controlling Gloria de Paula (1-4 in UFC). In truth, Kay Hansen submitted Frey for her solely UFC victory. Hansen misplaced 4 straight fights after that and bought lower from the promotion.
Frey has exploited two important weaknesses — de Paula’s grappling and Ashley Yoder’s poor placing — to consecutive wins. While she probably nonetheless has the sting in placing on this conflict, Demopolous has proven a capability in opposition to UFC-caliber opponents to get them to the mat and submit them.
If Hansen bought this executed, I’ll take a swing that Demopoulos — the general higher prospect — can as nicely.